Proclamations about the inevitability of China’s dominance of the global economic system, or the so-called Chinese century, were made long before Donald Trump’s attempts to stymie its trade with the US. Common concerns about coercive politics and human rights aside, some notions of China as an unstoppable economic, technological and military behemoth sit alongside others focused more on an increasingly sclerotic, over- centralised political economy, that depends on wasteful economic stimulus, and features poor governance and institutions. The fusion of these notions suggests that we may already have reached “peak…
Tag: Economics
China’s overcapacity is creating instability at home and abroad | George Magnus
China’s astounding technological success in mass-producing quality electric vehicles (EVs) sits alongside a serious flaw in its industrial model: overcapacity. It has the capacity to produce about three times as many units as it can sell at home. The consequences so far have included widespread price cutting, large losses, misallocation of capital, and surging low-cost EV exports leading to trade conflict. The bigger problem, though, is that EVs are just a part of a broader overcapacity problem involving a myriad of sectors and products. At home, Chinese overcapacity lies at…
Labour urged to consider wealth tax as Reeves visits Scotland – UK politics live
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The Guardian view on Trump’s tariffs: both a political and an economic threat | Editorial
Donald Trump’s 1 August tariffs deadline did what it was always intended to do. It kept the markets and the nations guessing amid last-minute uncertainty. It attempted to reassert the global heft of the United States economy to take on and master all comers. And it placed President Trump at the centre of the media story, where he always insists on being. In the event, there were some last-minute agreements struck this week, few of them fair or rational in trade terms, most of them motivated by the desire to…
US and China poised to extend tariff truce after failing to find resolution at talks
US and Chinese negotiators have agreed in principle to push back the deadline for escalating tariffs, although America’s representatives said any extension would need Donald Trump’s approval. Officials from both sides said after two days of talks in Stockholm that while had failed to find a resolution across the many areas of dispute they had agreed to extend a pause due to run out on 12 August. Beijing’s top trade negotiator, Li Chenggang, said the extension of a truce struck in mid-May would allow for further talks, without specifying when…
US and China hold trade talks after Donald Trump eyes ‘world tariff’ – business live
<gu-island name="KeyEventsCarousel" priority="feature" deferuntil="visible" props="{"keyEvents":[{"id":"688865728f086229c4205ac8","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":" Good morning, and welcome to our live coverage of business, economics and financial markets. ","elementId":"a58dd461-f7d4-4f55-9e86-3e123d778d2d"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":" After the US and EU announced the outline of a trade deal that would limit tariffs to 15%, it looks like talks with China could be the next on the agenda, with an extension of a truce in the trade war “likely”, according to a top official in the Trump administration. ","elementId":"bfefff3d-e94b-46bb-92bc-89abad3cad73"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":" US Treasury chief Scott Bessent arrived yesterday in Sweden, alongside China’s vice premier He Lifeng, according to Reuters.…
China’s economy beats expectations in face of Trump’s trade war
China’s economy grew more strongly than expected in the second quarter as it proved resilient in the face of Donald Trump’s trade war. China’s gross domestic product (GDP) grew 5.2% in April to June compared with a year earlier, slowing from 5.4% in the first quarter, but just ahead of analysts’ expectations for a rise of 5.1%. The world’s second largest economy has so far avoided a sharp slowdown in part due to support by Beijing and as factories took advantage of a US-China trade truce to make shipments before…
The Guardian view on Brics growing up: A new bloc seeks autonomy – and eyes a post-western order | Editorial
The Brics summit in Brazil last week revealed a loose alliance of emerging powers becoming more complex – and perhaps more consequential. For Brics, heft matters. It now counts 11 member states – including Indonesia, which joined this year – representing half the world’s population and 40% of the global economy, outpacing the G7 by $20tn. Yet its size hides its contradictions. The grouping’s call for more inclusive global institutions sounds welcome, but there is a preponderance of autocracies within its own ranks. Brics is right that international law should…
Here we go again: latest Trump tariff deadline looms amid inflation concerns
When Donald Trump unveiled his “liberation day” tariffs in the spring, only to pull the plug days later as panic tore through global markets, his officials scrambled to present the climbdown as temporary. Three months of frenetic talks would enable the Trump administration to strike dozens of trade agreements with countries across the world, they claimed. “We’re going to run,” the White House trade adviser Peter Navarro told Fox Business Network. “Ninety deals in 90 days is possible.” The 90-day pause Trump ordered on his steep tariffs is almost up,…
EU may as well be ‘province of China’ due to reliance on imports, says industrialist
The EU may as well “apply to be a province of China” such is its inability to wean itself off that country’s supply of critical raw materials used in everything from electric vehicles to smartphones and wind turbines, a leading German industrialist has said. As chief executive of AMG Lithium, the EU’s first factory to make the lithium hydroxide used in many car batteries, Stefan Scherer sits at the centre of what has been dubbed a new gold rush. But the chemist said China will continue to dominate battery technology…