As Trump targets China in Argentina bailout offer, analysts fear ‘debt trap’

Chinese scholars warn that Argentina will be the biggest loser if it cuts ties with China to align itself with the United States, as Washington pressures Buenos Aires to dismantle its long-standing currency swap line with Beijing.

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The US pledged last week to do “what is needed” to aid its ally, including providing a US$20 billion swap line with Argentina’s central bank to stabilise the peso and bolster its reserves.

But the offer came with a condition: cancelling Argentina’s arrangement with China, which was established in 2009 and is now worth US$18 billion. The demand was first reported by local newspaper Clarin and confirmed by the Post.

A currency swap is a financial agreement in which two parties exchange foreign currency at a predetermined rate, hedging against the risk of future fluctuations. The pact with China has served as a financial lifeline for Argentina, helping it manage foreign exchange reserves, pay for imports and settle international debts, including a repayment to the International Monetary Fund.

“If Argentina succumbs to coercion from the United States, the greatest loss will be borne by Argentina itself,” said Xu Shicheng, a Latin America expert at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

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“For China, it may impact Sino-Argentine trade and economic cooperation, such as the progress of projects related to China-Argentina collaboration under the Belt and Road Initiative,” Xu said.

South China Morning Post

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