China’s Shenzhen reveals bold tech plans for an economic, industrial resurgence in 2024

Shenzhen’s overall economy grew by 6 per cent in 2023, in line with its official target and outpacing both the 4.6 per cent growth in Guangzhou, the capital of Guangdong province, and the projected 3.2 per cent growth in Hong Kong, just across the border.

We have to break free of the West’s tech strangulation … and forge strong scientific and technological innovation

Qin Weizhong, Shenzhen mayor

This year, Shenzhen aims to grow its economy by 5.5 per cent, city mayor Qin Weizhong said at a parliamentary meeting on Tuesday. That goal exceeds the anticipated 2024 growths set by Guangzhou and Shanghai of 5 per cent.

“We have to break free of the West’s tech strangulation, break through their ‘small-yard, high-fence’ strategy, and forge strong scientific and technological innovation,” Qin said.

The referenced strategy refers to Washington’s bans or restrictions on the export of hi-tech products to China, as well as related investment and talent flows.

As China’s pre-eminent tech hub, Shenzhen is home to industry giants such as Huawei Technologies, BYD and DJI. Yet, dozens of companies headquartered here are now on Washington’s “Entity List” that comprises companies and individuals from a range of countries, and which represents perceived threats to US national security.

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Nonetheless, Shenzhen is shouldering the weight of innovation to achieve Chinese tech breakthroughs in strategic industries while propelling the entire country up the value chain to hedge against economic headwinds, punctuated by four “D’s” – debt, deflation, de-risking and demographics.

“Shenzhen was the first [municipal] victim in the US-China tech war, and this shows that the city has the capability to even affect global markets,” said Peng Peng, executive chairman of the Guangdong Society of Reform.

“Therefore, Shenzhen has a very urgent task of stabilising China’s industrial and supply chain, and needs to provide experience in industrial upgrading nationwide,” Peng added, noting how the city’s new plans for a tech revamp remain closely related to a broader transformation of the world’s second-largest economy.

According to its governmental report, Shenzhen aims to further upgrade its pillar industries – including those dealing in communications and smart devices – while exploring prospects in emerging sectors such as internet-connected vehicles, aerospace, and the low-altitude economy, which could include drones and even flying cars.

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The city is also striving for further developments in automobiles, semiconductors and high-end precision instruments, while fostering future industries that include intelligent robots, synthetic biology, brain science, cellular genetics and quantum information.

Shenzhen, which remains in a prominent position to lead integration in the Greater Bay Area (GBA), also vowed to establish an international commercial dispute resolution service centre and an international legal services centre, which appear intended to help resolve disputes involving foreign investors.

The Greater Bay Area refers to the central government’s ambitious scheme to link the cities of Hong Kong, Macau, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Zhuhai, Foshan, Zhongshan, Dongguan, Huizhou, Jiangmen and Zhaoqing into an integrated economic and business hub.

Additionally, Shenzhen intends to “add more than 20 high-end scientific research institutes, enterprise R&D centres and high-level scientific research teams”, but details remained scarce.

Given all of the external uncertainties in the environment, Shenzhen could play a much bigger role … in counterbalancing the West

Peng Peng, Guangdong Society of Reform

Last year, exports of Shenzhen’s “new three” – electric vehicles, solar cells and lithium batteries – rose by 33.9 per cent, which surpassed the national level of 29.9 per cent and was higher than the 19.7 per cent recorded in the Yangtze River Delta, another big manufacturing hub and economic driver for China.

The “new three” reflects a shift from China’s “old three” pillars of exports that comprised clothing, home appliances and furniture.

“The 0.5-percentage-point reduction in Shenzhen’s growth target [for 2024] is due to last year’s high base, but its goals for fixed-asset investment, retail sales and trade are very similar,” Peng said.

“So, given all of the external uncertainties in the environment, Shenzhen could play a much bigger role in the GBA, and even in science and technological innovations and in counterbalancing the West, for the whole country,” Peng added.

South China Morning Post

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