US overhauls air force to meet China challenge. Will it work?

In September last year, Kendall said the US Air Force must reorganise itself to prepare for a war with China, which has been “re-optimising its forces for great power competition and to prevail against the US in the western Pacific for over 20 years”.

He added: “Our job is to deter that war and to be ready to win if it occurs.”

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The measures will see new offices and commands created to allow the major commands to focus on combat readiness and the creation of a “space futures command” to look at future threats.

Most notably, the air and space forces will both establish mission-oriented “units of action” across the services, which will train and deploy together “for agile combat employment” instead of organising deployments based upon squadrons.

The combat air wings will build their relationship with base command, enabling each to focus on its own mission-level readiness and operations.

“We need to ensure that our combat wings are coherent units of action that have everything they need to be able to execute their wartime tasks,” air force chief of staff David Allvin said.

The revamp will see the US military step up efforts to train aircrews with hi-tech skills – an area where China has posed an increasing challenge – and improve the force’s readiness through large-scale mission-focused exercises and no-notice or limited-notice operational readiness assessments.

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The Nuclear Weapons Centre will also be expanded with new command structures in place to strengthen the support for nuclear forces.

The US military believes it must make significant structural changes because it has pivoted its strategic focus from the Middle East to China and Russia, according to former PLA instructor Song Zhongping. “Even for them it won’t be easy,” he said.

Many of the measures could not be properly implemented without significant funding, and “not just a little, but a massive amount”, he added.

Shanghai-based military observer Ni Lexiong said that while the People’s Liberation Army had modernised its navy and air force over the past two decades, Kendall was exaggerating the Chinese threat to secure a larger budget.

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He added that the US military still enjoys significant advantages but tends to overestimate its opponents.

He noted that modern warfare is fast changing as the Russia-Ukraine war has shown, and the advent of new technologies such as drones appears to have reduced the effectiveness of large ships. Ukraine does not have a conventional navy but has sunk a number of Russian warships, including a large landing ship last week.

Ni added that it remained to be seen how much of a game changer the overhaul of a traditional air force would prove to be, saying: “It is hard to predict the effect with so many uncertainties.”

South China Morning Post

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